*** Bracketology February 12th 2024***

 *** Bracketology February 12th 2024**

Seed Power Team

1 1 Purdue*

1 2 UConn*

1 3 Houston*

1 4 Arizona*

2 5 North Carolina*

2 6 Kansas

2 7 Tennessee

2 8 Marquette

3 9 Baylor

3 10 Iowa St.

3 11 Wisconsin

3 12 Duke

4 13 South Carolina

4 14 Alabama*

4 15 Illinois

4 16 Auburn

5 17 Creighton

5 18 Clemson

5 19 Dayton

5 20 Oklahoma

6 21 San Diego St.

6 22 Utah St.*

6 23 Fla. Atlantic

6 24 Colorado St.

7 25 BYU

7 26 Texas Tech

7 27 Texas

7 28 Kentucky

8 29 Boise St.

8 30 Northwestern

8 31 Saint Mary's (CA)*

8 32 Virginia

9 33 Texas A&M

9 34 Washington St.

9 35 Butler

9 36 Nebraska

10 37 Utah

10 38 Florida

10 39 TCU

10 40 Michigan St.

11a 41 Ole Miss

11a 42 Mississippi St.

11 43 Indiana St.*

11 44 Grand Canyon*

12a 45 Nevada

12a 46 New Mexico

12 47 Richmond*

12 48 McNeese*

12 49 South Fla.*

12 50 App State*

13 51 Samford*

13 52 Yale*

13 53 UNCW*

13 54 Akron*

14 55 UC Irvine*

14 56 Louisiana Tech*

14 57 Vermont*

14 58 Eastern Washington*

15 59 High Point*

15 60 Morehead St.*

15 61 Colgate*

15 62 Quinnipiac*

16 63 Southern*

16 64 Green Bay*

16a 65 Norfolk St.*

16a 66 South Dakota State*

16b 67 Eastern Kentucky*

16b 68 Merrimack*

Last Four Int: New Mexico, Nevada, Mississippi St., Ole Miss

First Four Out: Providence, Cincinnati, St. Johns, Wake Forest

Next Four Out: Gonzaga, Colorado, Memphis, Seton Hall

Notes:

- One big note is that two of the automatic qualifiers currently in my bracket Richmond and South Florida would not be at-large teams if they didnt win their conference. The betting money would still be on Dayton or FAU to win those brackets, but those conferences will be bid-stealing ones potentially. So Providence and Cincy are my first two out, if those two teams were not to win their conference tournaments those two would be in my bracket.

- The time of year for lots of shuffling still, especially in the middle of the bracket. New Mexico may be the biggest loser of the weekend falling all the way down to my last team in. New Mexico has a great NET of 22 but only 2 Q1 and 2 Q2 wins a 4-4 record in those two quads, and picked up a bad loss to UNLV at home this weekend. Their resume metrics are ok with an average of 44 with pretty good predictive metrics of an average of 32. But they also have no big road wins with 0 Q1/Q2 road wins. The good news is that their schedule still has plenty of opportunities for that with their next two games @ Nevada and @ SDSU and still trips to Boise and Utah State as well. They probably need to win at least 1 if not split those and avoid the two bad loss opportunities to Air Force and Fresno at home and in the MWC tournament. Meanwhile Nevada moved in with a win at home over SDSU. They also have 2 Q1 road wins and 5 Q1 wins in general, a good number.