Seed Power Team
1 1 * Michigan
1 2 * Duke
1 3 * Arizona
1 4 * UConn
2 5 Iowa State
2 6 Houston
2 7 Illinois
2 8 Purdue
3 9 Kansas
3 10 * Florida
3 11 Nebraska
3 12 Vanderbilt
4 13 * Gonzaga
4 14 Michigan St
4 15 Texas Tech
4 16 Virginia
5 17 Alabama
5 18 Arkansas
5 19 Louisville
5 20 St. John's
6 21 Tennessee
6 22 BYU
6 23 North Carolina
6 24 Clemson
7 25 Villanova
7 26 NC State
7 27 * Utah St
7 28 Iowa
8 29 Kentucky
8 30 * Saint Louis
8 31 Wisconsin
8 32 Miami
9 33 SMU
9 34 UCF
9 35 Indiana
9 36 USC
10 37 St. Mary's
10 38 Auburn
10 39 Georgia
10 40 Texas A&M
11 41 Texas
11 42 * Miami-OH
11a 43 Santa Clara
11b 44 UCLA
11c 45 Ohio State
11d 46 TCU
12 47 * South Florida
12 48 * Belmont
12 49 * Liberty
12 50 * Stephen F. Austin
13 51 * Yale
13 52 * High Point
13 53 * Hawai'i
13 54 * UNCW
14 55 * Cal Baptist
14 56 * Austin Peay
14 57 * North Dakota St
14 58 * Portland St
15 59 * Navy
15 60 * East Tenn St
15 61 * Wright St
15 62 * Merrimack
16 63 *Appalachian St
16 64 * UT Martin
16a 65 * Long Island
16a 66 * Howard
16a 67 * Bethune Cookman
16a 68 *NJIT
Last Four In: TCU, Ohio St., UCLA, Santa Clara
First Four Out: Missouri, New Mexico, San Diego St., VCU
Next Four Out: WVU, Va Tech, Seton Hall, California
Notes:
- Iowa State has a shot to take the last 1 seed away from UConn. They have 5 games, left 3 Q1, and 2 Q2. UConn's last 5 are 2 Q1, 2 Q2, and a Q3. Whoever does best in that last stretch could get it and Houston is still in the mix too. I dont think Illinois/Purdue could get a 1 unless they win out through the Big Ten tournament.
- On the bubble. Ohio State is in my latest field, despite not having a Q1 win. Their metrics are better than other bubble teams and they are 6-1 in Q2 and have no bad losses. Still according to my records since the quads began, no power 4 team has gotten an at-large without at least 1 Q1 win. They do have 3 Q1 chances left in their final 5 and at the big 10 tournament as well. They probably need to get at least 1 to hold their spot.
- Another curious case could be Auburn. I have Auburn as a 10 seed right now, but their overall record of 14-11 is not good. Georgia in 1999, is the only team to get an at-large bid only being 2 games over .500. That team also played the toughest schedule in the country like Auburn. Auburns final 6 feature a Q3, 2 Q2s, and 2 Q1s. Then the SEC tournament. A 2-4 finish would have them probably out at 16-15 heading into the SEC tournament. A 3-3 finish would have them at 17-14 and probably in heading into the SEC tournament, but probably needing a win to feel good.
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