*** Bracketology March 11th 2024 Updated 12pm ET ***

 *** Bracketology March 11th 2024 Updated 12pm ET ***

Seed Power Team

1 1 Houston*

1 2 Purdue*

1 3 UConn*

1 4 North Carolina*

2 5 Tennessee*

2 6 Arizona*

2 7 Iowa St.

2 8 Marquette

3 9 Baylor

3 10 Kansas

3 11 Creighton

3 12 Duke

4 13 Kentucky

4 14 Illinois

4 15 Alabama

4 16 Auburn

5 17 BYU

5 18 South Carolina

5 19 Utah St.*

5 20 San Diego St.

6 21 Texas Tech

6 22 Wisconsin

6 23 Nevada

6 24 Clemson

7 25 Dayton

7 26 Florida

7 27 Washington St.

7 28 Gonzaga

8 29 Boise St.

8 30 Saint Mary's (CA)*

8 31 Colorado St.

8 32 Texas

9 33 Oklahoma

9 34 Nebraska

9 35 Northwestern

9 36 Fla. Atlantic

10 37 Michigan St.

10 38 TCU

10 39 Seton Hall

10 40 Mississippi St.

11a 41 Virginia

11b 42 Colorado

11 43 Drake*

11c 44 St. John's (NY)

11d 45 New Mexico

11 46 Princeton*

12 47 Richmond*

12 48 South Fla.*

12 49 Grand Canyon*

12 50 James Madison*

13 51 McNeese*

13 52 Samford*

13 53 UC Irvine*

13 54 Vermont*

14 55 Col. of Charleston*

14 56 Oakland*

14 57 Toledo*

14 58 Morehead St.*

15 59 Sam Houston State*

15 60 Montana*

15 61 Colgate*

15 62 Quinnipiac*

16 63 South Dakota St.*

16 64 Longwood*

16a 65 Stetson*

16a 66 Norfolk St.*

16b 67 Merrimack*

16b 68 Grambling St.*

Last Four In (1st teams listed is last team in): New Mexico, St. Johns, Colorado, Virginia

First Four Out: Texas A&M, Wake Forest, Indiana St., Providence

Next Four Out: Villanova, Iowa, Pittsburgh, Kansas St.

Notes:

- Indiana State could be a source of contention this week. They lost to Drake in the MVC title game yesterday. The resume is borderline for an at-large bid. 

Good: NET of 29, Performance metrics average of 39.5, ok predictive average of 41.5.

Bad: 1-4 vs Q1, only 5-5 vs Q1/Q2, 1 Q4 loss. Only win over an at-large worth tourney teams is over Drake at home.

At the end of the day I dont think their resume is deserving of an at large bid. But with these mid-major teams the committee can sometimes decide it is and evaluate their resumes a little different then power schools. But to be in my bracket Indiana State is going to need some major things to swing their way this week.

- If you are one of the last 4/5 teams in the field, even though you may be relatively safe you cant be considered a lock with so much potential conference tournament chaos to play out. Thus avoid bad losses and win a quality game in the conference tournament and you probably are in good shape. 

- I will update the bracket every day and give key game analysis each day. As of this moment, I think these teams in order of my ranking are battling for 6 at-large bids (Seton Hall, Mississippi St., Virginia, Colorado, St. Johns, New Mexico, Texas A&M, Wake Forest, Indiana State, Providence, Villanova, Iowa). I think realistically from Pittsburgh (7th team out) down you probably have to win your conference tournament. Also keep in mind though if FAU and Dayton win their tournaments, two spots open up, and today that would put Texas A&M and Wake Forest in my bracket and have Indiana State as the 1st team out. 

Important Games Today:

- Two automatic bids with the A-Sun final and SoCon final.

- Two games for bubble teams to follow. St. Marys plays Santa Clara and Gonzaga plays San Francisco in the WCC semis. If St. Marys or Gonzaga do not get the automatic bid that is a spot lost for bubble teams. So bubble teams should pull hard for St. Marys and Gonzaga tonight.