***Bracketology March 5th 2024 Updated 10:30am ET***

 *** Bracketology March 5th 2024 Updated 10:30am ET***

Seed Power Team

1 1 Purdue*

1 2 Houston*

1 3 UConn*

1 4 Arizona*

2 5 North Carolina*

2 6 Tennessee*

2 7 Marquette

2 8 Baylor

3 9 Iowa St.

3 10 Kansas

3 11 Duke

3 12 Creighton

4 13 Alabama

4 14 Illinois

4 15 Auburn

4 16 San Diego St.

5 17 Kentucky

5 18 BYU

5 19 Washington St.

5 20 South Carolina

6 21 Clemson

6 22 Dayton

6 23 Wisconsin

6 24 Utah St.

7 25 Texas Tech

7 26 Florida

7 27 Boise St.*

7 28 Nevada

8 29 Saint Mary's (CA)*

8 30 Colorado St.

8 31 Oklahoma

8 32 Northwestern

9 33 Gonzaga

9 34 Texas

9 35 Nebraska

9 36 Michigan St.

10 37 TCU

10 38 Mississippi St.

10 39 Fla. Atlantic

10 40 Virginia

11a 41 Utah

11b 42 Villanova

11c 43 New Mexico

11d 44 Seton Hall

11 45 Indiana St.*

11 46 Richmond*

12 47 South Fla.*

12 48 Princeton*

12 49 Grand Canyon*

12 50 McNeese*

13 51 App State*

13 52 Samford*

13 53 Louisiana Tech*

13 54 UC Irvine*

14 55 Vermont*

14 56 Akron*

14 57 Col. of Charleston*

14 58 High Point*

15 59 Oakland*

15 60 Eastern Washington*

15 61 Morehad St.*

15 62 Colgate*

16 63 Quinnipiac*

16 64 South Dakota St.*

16a 65 Norfolk St.*

16a 66 Eastern Kentucky*

16b 67 Merrimack*

16b 68 Grambling St.*

Last Four In: Seton Hall, New Mexico, Villanova, Utah

First Four Out: Colorado, St. Johns, Providence, Iowa

Next Four Out: Wake Forest, Ole Miss, Pittsburgh, Texas A&M

Comments:

- No changes today.

Bubble Games Tonight:

Tulane @ South Florida - South Florida is ranked 24th in the latest AP poll, but would likely not get an at-large bid if their season ended today. But no team in the country is hotter as they have only lost 1 game since 12/9. The have 1 Q1 win, 6 Q2 wins, but 2 Q4 losses. Also their NET is not good at 79. Their results based metric average isnt bad at 48, but the predictive metric average isnt good at 90. They cant pick up a bad loss and their last two games are bad loss opportunities so they need to win both. But if they did, and they didnt pick up a bad loss in the AAC tournament, then they could have a shot at an at-large bid. Bubble teams should pull that they lose one of these last two games. If they win in blowouts their NET may climb into the low 70s and if it is in the upper 60s to low 70s and they avoid a bad loss in the AAC tournament, they could get a bid. Interesting case.

Ole Miss @ Georgia - Ole Miss finishes up with this Q3 opportunity and another Q2 game at home vs Texas A&M to finish the season. They are my 6th team out right now. But with no bad losses and decent results based metrics, they could get back on the right side pretty quickly. A two game winning streak to end the season would give them 2 Q1s, 5Q2s and no bad losses heading into the SEC tournament. A quality win or two there would probably get them in. But they really have to likely win both of their final two to have a realistic chance at an at large bid.

Syracuse @ Clemson - Cuse has good results based metrics (Average of 38) but all the other factors (NET, Quad performance, Predictive Metrics) are so-so. They need a win here and likely 2 quality wins at the ACC tournament to have any chance. Even then, they may fight the ole committee doesnt care about teams outside maybe the first four out in conference tournaments perception.

Providence @ Georgetown - A must win plain and simple. One thing going for Providence is that they have no losses outside Q1/Q2 and this would be one. They have to win this one and then if they can upset UConn to end the season they could be in heading into the conference tournament.

Kansas St @ Kansas - KSU is not in my first 8 out, but they finish up with two huge Q1 opportunities @ Kansas and home vs Iowa St. If they won both of those they would have 6 Q1 wins, 3 Q2 wins, no bad losses and I am sure their metrics would improve significantly. Have to win both though to be seriously in the convo.

FSU @ Pittsburgh - Pitt doesnt get quality win chances to end the season with this game and NC State coming to town both Q3 games. They need to win both games by blowouts and then likely pick up 2 quality wins at the ACC tournament to have a real shot IMO.

St. Johns @ Depaul - Like Pitt St. Johns does not get a quality win opportunity to end the season. But they cant lose this one and really need a blowout to maintain where they are at which is barely out in my bracket. Blow out Depaul and Georgetown and pick up a top 100 win in the conference tournament and the could get in 2 quality wins though would make it less stressful.

Georgia Tech @ Wake Forest - A must win for Wake. You cant pickup a bad loss this time of year if you are barely in or out. Win this one by blowout preferably and beat Clemson at home to end the season and Wake could be in decent shape but still having to avoid a bad loss in the ACC tournament and likely needing a quality win to keep their spot. But we would have to see what the bubble looks like then.

Enjoy the night of bubble action!