Tuesday, March 12, 2024

***Bracketology March 12th 2024 Updated 9am ET***

 Seed Power Team

1 1 Houston*

1 2 Purdue*

1 3 UConn*

1 4 North Carolina*

2 5 Tennessee*

2 6 Arizona*

2 7 Iowa St.

2 8 Marquette

3 9 Baylor

3 10 Kansas

3 11 Creighton

3 12 Duke

4 13 Kentucky

4 14 Illinois

4 15 Alabama

4 16 Auburn

5 17 BYU

5 18 South Carolina

5 19 Utah St.*

5 20 San Diego St.

6 21 Texas Tech

6 22 Wisconsin

6 23 Nevada

6 24 Clemson

7 25 Dayton

7 26 Florida

7 27 Gonzaga

7 28 Washington St.

8 29 Boise St.

8 30 Saint Mary's (CA)*

8 31 Colorado St.

8 32 Texas

9 33 Oklahoma

9 34 Nebraska

9 35 Northwestern

9 36 Fla. Atlantic

10 37 Michigan St.

10 38 TCU

10 39 Seton Hall

10 40 Mississippi St.

11a 41 Virginia

11b 42 Colorado

11 43 Drake

11c 44 St. John's (NY)

11d 45 New Mexico

11 46 Princeton*

12 47 Richmond*

12 48 South Fla.*

12 49 Grand Canyon*

12 50 James Madison*

13 51 McNeese*

13 52 Samford*

13 53 UC Irvine*

13 54 Vermont*

14 55 Col. of Charleston*

14 56 Oakland*

14 57 Toledo*

14 58 Morehead St.*

15 59 Sam Houston State*

15 60 Montana*

15 61 Colgate*

15 62 Quinnipiac*

16 63 South Dakota St.*

16 64 Longwood*

16a 65 Stetson*

16a 66 Norfolk St.*

16b 67 Merrimack*

16b 68 Grambling St.*

Last Four In: New Mexico, St. Johns, Colorado, Virginia

First Four Out: Texas A&M, Wake Forest, Indiana St., Providence

Next Four Out: Villanova, Iowa, Pittsburgh, Kansas St.

Notes:

- Only change to the bracket this morning is I switched Gonzaga and Washington St in the S Curve after Gonzaga added a quad 2 win last night over San Francisco. Bubble teams can rejoice that there will no bid stealer in the WCC.

- By my count that leaves 7 to maybe 8 conferences that could produce bid stealers, not counting the AAC and A10 where I already have bid stealers (South Florida/Richmond) baked in. The 8th is the Ivy league where some argument will be made for Princeton to get an at large if they say lose in the championship game. I dont think Princetons resume is good enough IMO, but you never know with these mid majors. Princeton has not played a single game vs at at-large caliber opponent and no quad 1 games. So I think they need to win the tournament to get in and if they do there is at least no worry about them being a bid stealers. The other 7 bid stealer leagues are power conferences and the Mountain West (ACC, Big 12, Big East, Big 10, Pac-12, SEC, and MWC). Typically we dont see bid stealers in the big conference tournaments but occasionally we do. The MWC already has 6 teams in my field so the chance of a bid stealer there is low, although New Mexico could count as one if they win the tournament as they are out in some brackets although my last team in. UNLV is the real threat to steal a bid there.

- No real bubble impact games today, but the Big 12 and ACC begin their conference tournaments. Tomorrow starts to gear up with bubble action and we are in it thick the rest of the week, so enjoy one more quiet day before the real madness begins.


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