Thursday, March 14, 2024

***Bracketology March 14th 2024 Updated 11:15am ET***

 ***Bracketology March 14th 2024 Updated 11:15am ET***

Seed Power Team

1 1 Houston*

1 2 Purdue*

1 3 UConn*

1 4 North Carolina*

2 5 Tennessee*

2 6 Arizona*

2 7 Iowa St.

2 8 Marquette

3 9 Baylor

3 10 Creighton

3 11 Duke

3 12 Kentucky

4 13 Kansas

4 14 Illinois

4 15 Alabama

4 16 BYU

5 17 Auburn

5 18 South Carolina

5 19 Utah St.*

5 20 San Diego St.

6 21 Texas Tech

6 22 Wisconsin

6 23 Nevada

6 24 Dayton

7 25 Clemson

7 26 Saint Mary's (CA)*

7 27 Florida

7 28 Gonzaga

8 29 Washington St.

8 30 Boise St.

8 31 Colorado St.

8 32 Nebraska

9 33 Northwestern

9 34 Fla. Atlantic

9 35 Texas

9 36 TCU

10 37 Oklahoma

10 38 Michigan St.

10 39 Seton Hall

10 40 Mississippi St.

11a 41 Virginia

11b 42 Colorado

11 43 Drake*

11c 44 St. John's (NY)

11d 45 New Mexico

11 46 Princeton*

12 47 Richmond*

12 48 South Fla.*

12 49 Grand Canyon*

12 50 James Madison*

13 51 McNeese*

13 52 Samford*

13 53 UC Irvine*

13 54 Vermont*

14 55 Col. of Charleston*

14 56 Oakland*

14 57 Toledo*

14 58 Morehead St.*

15 59 Sam Houston St.*

15 60 Colgate*

15 61 Quinnipiac*

15 62 South Dakota St.*

16 63 Longwood*

16 64 Stetson*

16a 65 Norfolk St.*

16a 66 Montana St.*

16b 67 Grambling St.*

16b 68 Wagner*

Last Four In: New Mexico, St. Johns, Colorado, Virginia

First Four Out: Texas A&M, Wake Forest, Indiana St, Kansas St.

Next Four Out: Providence, Villanova, Iowa, Pittsburgh

Notes:

- No major bubble moves yesterday. Villanova almost fell off the bubble but got a late 3 pointer to beat 3 win Depaul. Kansas State moved up to my 4th team out after their win over Texas. I still dont have Cincy in my first 8 out or Utah, but they are 9/10 on my line. It may just be too big a hill to overcome for these two to get an at large bid.

Bubble Games:

Today may be the biggest bubble day of the year. So buckle up!

St. Josephs vs Richmond. Richmond isnt on the bubble for an at-large but they won the A-10 regular season championship and they along with Loyola may represent the biggest threat to win the tournament over Dayton. Bubble teams should pull for Richmond to get knocked out earlier to make an easier path for Dayton.

Minnesota vs Michigan State - I think Michigan State is basically a lock and even a loss here would only be quad 2. But MSU is only 7 teams deep into my bracket, so they probably should just win to avoid any issues.

Mississippi St vs LSU - Mississippi State's resume is really not that great. 3-8 vs Q1, 3-3 vs Q2, they have a Q4 loss. But they do have wins at home over Tennessee and Auburn and a neutral court win over Washington St. This would be a quad 2 game, so not a huge loss if they do. But a loss here leaves them in a more perilous position to be subject to bubble chaos. A win would probably lock them in.

St. Johns vs Seton Hall - St. Johns neesd this more than Seton Hall. Seton Hall may be ok even with a loss but a win is advised to avoid worry. St. Johns probably needs a win here to keep their spot as they are too close to the cut line with too many bubble teams have opportunities. They may still get a bid with a loss if chaos is not bad and things work out for Dayton/FAU to win their tournaments. 

Wake Forest vs Pittsburgh - This is a loser leaves town match most likely. Pitt probably has to win the ACC tournament any way but a win here and a win over presumably UNC tomorrow would give them 5 Q1 wins and they would be under heavy consideration. Wake Forest also needs to win and this could end up being Q1 and that would be a very important 2nd one for WF. 

Ohio St vs Iowa - Ohio State is hot but it is probably too little too late. But a run to the B1G final could make their case interesting. Iowa has to win to keep alive and then pick up a win tomorrow over Illinois to have any chance.

Ole Miss vs Texas A&M - Ole Miss is out of it but A&M has to have it to keep their chances. A win here and a win tomorrow over Kentucky could be enough.

Providence vs Creighton - A win here would be the 6th Q1 win for Providence and they have no bad losses. It would make a compelling case but still may not be enough pending on other bubble action. But a win here and maybe one more tomorrow could be enough.

Kansas State vs Iowa State - KSU has themselves back in the mix after beating Texas last night. A win here woudl be KSU's 6th Q1 to go with 5 Q2s and only one bad loss. This could be enough to get them right there although this and a win in the semis may be required.

Duquense vs Dayton - Huge game for bubble nation. Dayton winning the A-10 tournament would open up another at-large spot not currently accounted for by me and most bracketologists.

Boston College vs Virginia - Huge game for UVA. A win may be enough to lock up a bid, a loss would leave them periously close to the cut line and dependent on favorable bubble scenarios. 

Cincy vs Baylor - The Bearcats probably have to make it to the Final to have a real shot.

Villanova vs Marquette - Nova survived last night and have to win this one to have a chance. They may also need to win in the semis to really have a real shot.

New Mexico vs Boise State - Huge opportunity for New Mexico. A loss probably means they fall out of my bracket tomorrow a win would really bolster their resume. 

Utah vs Colorado - Utah probably has to win the PAC-12 tournament. Colorado has to have this one I think to keep their spot at the end of the day.

Enjoy the best sports day of the year IMO!

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