Seed Power Team
1 1 * Duke
1 2 * Michigan
1 3 * Arizona
1 4 * Florida
2 5 UConn
2 6 Houston
2 7 Michigan St
2 8 Illinois
3 9 Iowa State
3 10 Nebraska
3 11 * Gonzaga
3 12 Purdue
4 13 Alabama
4 14 Virginia
4 15 Vanderbilt
4 16 Kansas
5 17 Texas Tech
5 18 Arkansas
5 19 North Carolina
5 20 * St. John's
6 21 Louisville
6 22 Wisconsin
6 23 Tennessee
6 24 BYU
7 25 Kentucky
7 26 UCLA
7 27 St. Mary's
7 28 Villanova
8 29 Iowa
8 30 Miami
8 31 Clemson
8 32 Texas A&M
9 33 Georgia
9 34 * Utah St
9 35 Ohio State
9 36 * Saint Louis
10 37 TCU
10 38 * Miami-OH
10 39 NC State
10 40 Texas
11 41 Santa Clara
11 42 Missouri
11a 43 UCF
11b 44 VCU
11c 45 Indiana
11d 46 SMU
12 47 * South Florida
12 48 * Northern Iowa
12 49 * Stephen F. Austin
12 50 * Yale
13 51 * High Point
13 52 * Utah Valley
13 53 * Liberty
13 54 * Hofstra
14 55 * North Dakota St
14 56 * UC Irvine
14 57 * Troy
14 58 * Wright St
15 59 * Portland St
15 60 * Merrimack
15 61 * Furman
15 62 * Queens
16 63 * Tennessee St
16 64 * UMBC
16a 65 * Howard
16a 66 * Long Island
16a 67 * Bethune Cookman
16a 68 *Boston U
Last Four In: SMU, Indiana, VCU, UCF
First Four Out: Va Tech, California, Stanford, SDSU
Next Four Out: New Mexico, Oklahoma, Cincinnati, Auburn
Notes:
Furman moves into the field after upsetting ETSU last night. Tonight Long Island plays Mercyhurst in the NEC final, but Mercyhurst is ineligible so it is just for pride as Long Island already has the automatic bid locked up. Monmouth/Hofstra play in the CAA final tonight, Wright State/Detroit Mercy in the Horizon final, Sienna/Merrimack in the MAAC final, and Santa Clara/Gonzaga in the WCC final.
Speaking of Santa Clara. The win over St. Marys last night probably locks up a bid for them. I have them now 6 teams deep in the field and a loss to Gonzaga, unless maybe it is by 40, wont slide them down. Of course you never know if teams below you or just outside the field get hot or if Cinderellas start stealing spots, how it can change the calculus. But for now, I think Santa Clara should feel solid.
Todays Bubble Games:
Pittsburgh vs Stanford - A bubbly day in the ACC kicks off with Stanford hosting Pitt. This is a game where Stanford will not help themselves but a loss ends their at-large chances. A win means a rematch from Saturday with NC State which would be a Q1 opportunity. A win there will have Stanford in the mix heading into Selection Sunday as it would be their 6th Q1 win with 4 Q2 wins. They have 3 Q3 losses though which is a big stain, and questionable performance metrics. So get to the quarterfinals vs Virginia and then we will see.
Utah vs Cincy - Cincy is a long shot, but a path could be there. They have to win this won and then beat UCF Wednesday. That sets up a matchup with Arizona in the quarterfinals. A win there could have the Bearcats in, but that is the minimum.
Syracuse vs SMU - Another bubble game for the ACC. SMU is my last team in today, meaning they have to make some noise to likely keep their spot. This is a must win and would give them a 5th Q2 win to go with 4 Q1 wins and no bad losses. That might be enough, but still be close enough to the edge to be dicey. A win means a matchup with Louisville tomorrow. A win there probably locks them in, a loss means sweat city on Selection Sunday.
Wake Forest vs Virginia Tech - The Hokies are my first team out of the field. A win here would be a 7th Q2 win to go with 2 Q1 wins and no bad losses. The problem is the Hokies performance metrics are not great. A win here means a matchup with Clemson on Wednesday in a Q1 game. Win that one and the Hokies may be in, a loss would mean they are on the edge.
Santa Clara vs Gonzaga - As I mentioned above, I think Santa Clara may be good now, but just win tonight and erase any doubt with the auto bid.
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