Seed Power Team
1 1 * Duke
1 2 * Arizona
1 3 * Michigan
1 4 * UConn
2 5 * Florida
2 6 Houston
2 7 Michigan St
2 8 Nebraska
3 9 Illinois
3 10 Texas Tech
3 11 Purdue
3 12 Iowa State
4 13 * Gonzaga
4 14 Kansas
4 15 Alabama
4 16 Virginia
5 17 North Carolina
5 18 Vanderbilt
5 19 Arkansas
5 20 Tennessee
6 21 St. John's
6 22 Louisville
6 23 Wisconsin
6 24 * Utah St
7 25 Kentucky
7 26 BYU
7 27 Villanova
7 28 Clemson
8 29 St. Mary's
8 30 UCF
8 31 * Saint Louis
8 32 Miami
9 33 Iowa
9 34 Georgia
9 35 Texas
9 36 NC State
10 37 Missouri
10 38 Ohio State
10 39 UCLA
10 40 SMU
11 41 * Miami-OH
11 42 Texas A&M
11a 43 Santa Clara
11b 44 TCU
11c 45 New Mexico
11d 46 VCU
12 47 * South Florida
12 48 * Belmont
12 49 * Stephen F. Austin
12 50 * High Point
13 51 * Yale
13 52 * Liberty
13 53 * UNCW
13 54 * Cal Baptist
14 55 * Hawai'i
14 56 * North Dakota St
14 57 * Navy
14 58 * Troy
15 59 *Austin Peay
15 60 * Portland St
15 61 * East Tenn St
15 62 * Wright St
16 63 * Merrimack
16 64 * Howard
16a 65 * UMBC
16a 66 * Tennessee St
16a 67 * Long Island
16a 68 * Bethune Cookman
Last Four In: VCU, New Mexico, TCU, Santa Clara
First Four Out: Indiana, San Diego St., Va Tech, USC
Next Four Out: California, Auburn, WVU, Seton Hall
- Not much change in todays bracket, I did switch Arizona with Michigan on the S Curve, although both will get 1 seeds so it doesnt really matter. I also shuffled NC State down a couple spots but kept them as a 9 seed, also some shuffling at the bottom of the bracket.
A huge slate of bubble games tonight.
Bubble Games Tonight:
TCU @ Texas Tech - A huge chance for TCU to effectively lock themselves in with a Q1 win here. Even if they dont, a win vs Cincy at home to end the regular season will probably be enough, although they would be close enough to the edge to still feel a bit nervous heading into the conference tournament. Two losses to end the season would leave some work to do in the Big 12 tournament.
Clemson @ UNC - I think Clemson is safe. But the fact they have a Q4 landmine left to end the season vs Georgia Tech at home still leaves a bit of uncertainty especially if they lost both games to end the season and then lose their opening in the ACC tournament. They still would likely be in, but erase any doubt with a win tonight.
Toledo @ Miami Oh - Two Q3 games to end the season for Miami Oh. If they finish the season undefeated they will be in my bracket even if they lose early in the MAC tournament. However, a loss in either and an early exit from the MAC tournament would have them in danger. Bubble teams will pulling hard for Miami OH to win the MAC tournament.
George Mason @ VCU - VCU is my last team in the field but it seems like the real debate right now between most bracketologists is for that final spot between VCU, Indiana, and SDSU. This is a Q3 game for VCU, and they end the season with a Q1 game @ Dayton. Realistically they probably need to win both games to have a spot in my field heading into the A-10 tournament, but the problem is a team like VCU is in danger of being lept by the power schools below them if those schools pick up big wins late in the year or in the conference tournament. VCU probably has to win out and make the A-10 final to have a good shot at an at-large.
Seton Hall @ Xavier - Seton Halls resume is just the typical bleh power 4 bubble team reusme. They have 2 Q1 wins and 5 Q2 wins but are just 7-8 vs Q1/Q2. They also have 2 Q3 losses which is what is really hurting them right now. Their metrics are also mediocre. The do finish the season though with this Q2 game and a Q1 game at home vs St. Johns. They need to win both to be really on the bubble heading into the Big East tourny. And then they will likely need to do some damage there, probably a trip to the finals will be necessary.
Missouri @ Oklahoma - Missouri is probably safe. Both of their remaining games are Q1, @ Oklahoma, vs Arkansas. But win one more and they will be in excellent shape.
Kentucky @ Texas A&M - Texas A&M finished with two Q1 games this game and @ LSU. They are probably in good shape if they win 1. However, losses in both and a 1st round SEC upset loss could keep the Aggies out.
WVU @ KSU - Wins in their last two games (Q2 games) wont be enough to have WVU in the field heading into conf tournaments. But it has to happen to leave open any chance of an at large bid, which could occur with two wins and a run to the Big 12 final.
BYU @ Cincy - Cincy finishes with 2 Q1 games, this game and @ TCU. If they win both, Cincy could be either barely in or barely out heading into the conference tournament. A loss in either means they probably have to at least make the final. Huge game tonight.
SDSU @ Boise St. - This is the last Q1 game of the regular season for SDSU. They finish with a Q3 game at home vs UNLV. They have to win both to have any at large chance. Winning both could have them on the right side of the bubble heading into the conference tournament, but still work to do there to keep their spot.
BC @ Va Tech - This is a no brainer must win for Va Tech, a loss here would end their at large chances. But a win here and a win on the road to sweep Virginia would likely have the Hokies in heading into the conf tournament, where they still may need to pick up at least 1 quality win to keep their spot.
LSU @ Auburn - A must win for 15-14 Auburn. With their good metrics, a simple win here, could push them back in my field tomorrow, as the main reason they are out is their poor overall record. But with the nations toughest schedule, 2 games above .500 could be enough to get them in. To keep their spot though heading into conf tournament week they have to win this one and the finale @ Alabama.
Nebraska @ UCLA - UCLA ends with 2 Q1 games this one and at USC. UCLA probably needs to win 1 to feel solid heading into the conference tournament.
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