Seed Power Team
1 1 * Duke
1 2 * Michigan
1 3 * Arizona
1 4 * Florida
2 5 Houston
2 6 UConn
2 7 Michigan St
2 8 Iowa State
3 9 Illinois
3 10 * Gonzaga
3 11 Nebraska
3 12 Purdue
4 13 Alabama
4 14 Virginia
4 15 Vanderbilt
4 16 Kansas
5 17 Arkansas
5 18 * St. John's
5 19 Tennessee
5 20 Texas Tech
6 21 North Carolina
6 22 Louisville
6 23 Wisconsin
6 24 BYU
7 25 Kentucky
7 26 Miami
7 27 Clemson
7 28 St. Mary's
8 29 Ohio State
8 30 UCLA
8 31 * Utah St
8 32 Villanova
9 33 Georgia
9 34 TCU
9 35 Iowa
9 36 * Saint Louis
10 37 UCF
10 38 Texas A&M
10 39 NC State
10 40 Santa Clara
11 41 Missouri
11a 42 Miami-OH
11b 43 VCU
11c 44 SMU
11d 45 Texas
11 46 * South Florida
12 47 * McNeese St
12 48 * Akron
12 49 * Northern Iowa
12 50 * Yale
13 51 * High Point
13 52 * Utah Valley
13 53 * Hofstra
13 54 * Sam Houston
14 55 * UC Irvine
14 56 * North Dakota St
14 57 * Troy
14 58 * Wright St
15 59 * Idaho
15 60 * Siena
15 61 * Furman
15 62 * Tennessee St
16 63 * UMBC
16 64 * Queens
16a 65 * Howard
16a 66 * Long Island
16a 67 * Southern U
16a 68 * Lehigh
Last Four In: Texas, SMU, VCU, Miami-OH
First Four Out: Oklahoma, Virginia Tech, Auburn, SDSU
Next Four Out: New Mexico, Oklahoma St., Indiana. Seton Hall
So the field is coming into more focus. Miami OH, in my opinion, is guaranteed a spot in the field. The committee will not overlook their perfect regular season. But the poor performance metrics, BT=87, KenPom=93, will likely result in them being in last 4 in and playing in Dayton. But they will not slide out of the field if we get say 4 bid stealers.
There are still 4 possible bid stealing scenarios, in the Big East, Georgetown and Seton Hall are still alive in the semifinals. In the MWC, if Utah State does not win the tournament, a bid will be stolen, in the A-10 if VCU loses in the finals or St. Louis doesnt win, a big will be stolen, and in the SEC Ole Miss and Oklahoma are still alive.
Oklahoma is now my first team out. You could make a case they should be in over Texas. However, the committee seems hesitant to move teams out of the bracket short of a bad loss and a teams that is say 4/5 spots out into the bracket without alot happening. If Oklahoma beats Arkansas today, they will move into my bracket and Texas will fall out. I do not think Seton Hall gets in short of winning the Big East tournament and I dont think either of the MWC teams on the bubble SDSU or New Mexico get in with just a win tonight, at least not into my bracket. Now there is a scenario where Oklahoma gets an at-large bid with say a win today but Ole Miss makes a run and wins the SEC tournament. That would be two bids stolen because of SEC Tournament results. And then say Utah State loses, St. Louis loses, VCU loses in the final, and Seton Hall or Georgetown wins. That means 5 teams in my field today, COULD still fall out. If I say Miami OH is a lock, that means Texas, SMU, VCU, Missouri, and Santa Clara could still conceivably fall out.
Hopefully another great day of games today!
So IMO, Texas, SMU, VCU,
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