Seed Power Team
1 1 * Arizona
1 2 * Michigan
1 3 * Duke
1 4 Houston
2 5 * UConn
2 6 Purdue
2 7 Illinois
2 8 Iowa State
3 9 Kansas
3 10 Nebraska
3 11 Michigan St
3 12 * Florida
4 13 Gonzaga
4 14 Vanderbilt
4 15 Virginia
4 16 Texas Tech
5 17 Alabama
5 18 Arkansas
5 19 North Carolina
5 20 St. John's
6 21 Louisville
6 22 BYU
6 23 Clemson
6 24 Tennessee
7 25 * Saint Louis
7 26 Kentucky
7 27 Iowa
7 28 NC State
8 29 Villanova
8 30 * Utah St
8 31 Wisconsin
8 32 UCF
9 33 Texas A&M
9 34 SMU
9 35 Auburn
9 36 Indiana
10 37 Georgia
10 38 USC
10 39 St. Mary's
10 40 Miami
11a 41 UCLA
11 42 Santa Clara
11 43 * Miami-OH
11b 44 Texas
11c 45 TCU
11d 46 Missouri
12 47 * Tulsa
12 48 * Belmont
12 49 * Liberty
12 50 * Stephen F. Austin
13 51 * Yale
13 52 * High Point
13 53 * Utah Valley
13 54 * Hawai'i
14 55 * UNCW
14 56 * Troy
14 57 * North Dakota St
14 58 * Austin Peay
15 59 * Portland St
15 60 * Wright St
15 61 * East Tenn St
15 62 * Navy
16 63 * Merrimack
16 64 * UT Martin
16a 65 * Long Island
16a 66 * Bethune Cookman
16a 67 *NJIT
16a 68 *Morgan St
Last Four In: (First team listed is last team in): Missouri, TCU, Texas, UCLA
First Four Out: California, SDSU, Ohio St., Oklahoma St.
Next Four Out: New Mexico, VCU, Va Tech, Seton Hall
I have put the teams in a bracket for the first time, but it may not be readable on this page. You can right click and open it I assume to see a bigger version.
Comments:
- TCUs win last night over Iowa State shows what a big/huge win can still do this time of year as it took them from my Next Four Out to in the field.
- Any of those teams in the first 8 out and you can throw WVU into that, could quickly jump up with an elite 1A win.
- It is also the time of year to start looking at leagues that could be bid stealers.
American - Tulsa is right now not an at-large worthy team to me. But they arent far off and the committee can do weird things. So bubbly teams should hope that Tulsa wins the AAC.
A-10 - This is the obvious one. St. Louis will be in unless they pick up a couple of bad losses.But VCU, GMU, GW, Dayton, Davidson are all capable of winning the conference tournament. This will be a closely followed conference tournament by bubble teams.
Big East - This is weird to say, but right now there are only 3 teams worthy of at-large status. UConn, St. Johns, Villanova. Now UConn and St. Johns are heavy favorites to win this, but Creighton, Seton Hall could get hot and make this interesting.
MAC - Another obvious one like the A-10. Miami-OH is 24-0 but their resume is not full of big wins, 0 Q1 and 2 Q2 over Akron and Wright St. The remaining schedule is only Q3/Q4 games, so they can maybe afford to lose 1 and still have an at-large worthy resume. If they can make the conference tournament undefeated or 30-1 they likely have an at-large bid. So this will be a big one for bubble teams. Akron is a good team and their only loss in league is to Miami-Oh so they are very capable.
Mountain West - Utah State is the only sure at-large team as of now. SDSU is bubbly and not in my current bracket but close. Bubble teams need to hope Utah State wins the conf tournament.
WCC - And then of course always the WCC, although Gonzaga or St. Marys always seem to find a way to win the league tournament. One of those two teams have won the conference tournament every year since 2008 and it has only not happened twice since 1998. Santa Clara has an at-large worthy resume right now and if they can avoid a loss to Seattle (Q3) or Oregon St (Q4) and pickup one more quality win Gonzaga, @ San Francisco, @ St. Marys they should be good to go. But if another team not of those 3 win, then a bid is stolen.
I will of course zoom in on these as we get closer to conf tournament time. but to feel really comfortable from conf tournament chaos, you likely want to be at least 5/6 spots deep in heading into the conference tournament, and even then it isnt always enough.
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